5.4 Example explanation

This article is a detailed explanation of the Baccarat Restricted Bet Sizing Strategy. Through the study of this article, you can master the Baccarat Restricted Bet Sizing Strategy more easily. Click to buy and it will be sent to your email.


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5.3 Basic concepts

This article explains the basic concepts of the Baccarat Restricted Bet Sizing Strategy. Only after mastering the basic concepts can you understand the meaning of the Baccarat Restricted Bet Sizing Strategy. Click to buy and it will be sent to your email.


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5.2 Where does baccarat win money in the long run

How do you think you can win money from Baccarat in the long run? Does it rely on 1 bet to win two, then four, and then eight? This is obviously impossible, what exactly should be done, this article will tell you the answer. Click to buy and it will be sent to your email.


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5.1 Bet on the banker or the player

Because the “Baccarat Restricted Betting Strategy” only considers the arrangement of bet sizes, for convenience, we only buy players, so that there is no interference from the banker’s handling fees, allowing us to quickly arrange reasonable bets.

No matter what strategy you use, I recommend that you only buy players. If you want to buy a banker, you have to add the amount of rake.

Besides, you must be calm, impetuous, and emotional. Even losing the ability to think and wanting to win money in the casino should be the basic quality. Our Kung Fu Emperor Bruce Lee said that he is not afraid of people who can practice 10,000 kinds of Kung Fu, he is only afraid of people who practice one Kung Fu 10,000 times. What does this mean? That is to say, no matter how simple your method is, you have to thoroughly understand it, you have to master it, and you have to be completely integrated with this method.

We all know that there are tens of thousands of baccarat betting placement strategies, but there are so many methods and so many cards. Can you make it? Besides, the game cannot break the law of large numbers and cannot win Baccarat. The game is only used as an aid. So, just master a simple method. Don’t continue to waste time and energy on finding betting placement strategies.

4.2 Betting sizing strategy ability test

This is a very standard Baccarat betting test question, which players without certain experience cannot solve. If you can do it independently, then you must also be able to make long-term profits in Baccarat, and success is not far away.

The author puts this question here, which has actually brought you into the door to victory. As for whether you have the savvy to figure it out by yourself, it is up to you. Otherwise, please purchase the content of Chapter 5 and let the author explain it to you in detail.

Question: Suppose there is such a game with a total of 100 hands, only the banker and the player, and no ties. The banker does not charge a handling fee. Knowing that the banker and the player each occupy 50 hands, the principal for you is only 153 chips, and each hand must be bet, and your betting sizing strategy must be able to pass all the permutations. All permutations mean all permutations and combinations of 50 bankers and 50 players. It can be 50 bankers first, then 50 players, or 50 players first and then 50 bankers, or single jump, or two bankers and two players. In the worst case, you have to win 1 chip, and in the best case, you have to win 50 chips. Can you solve this problem? (See the answer on the next page)

Answer: Start with 2, lose 2 and buy 3, and then lose or buy 3, until the number of winning or losing lots is equal, and then start from 2; winning 2 to buy 1, and then winning or buying 1, until the number of winning or losing lots is equal, starting from 2.

For example:

The author can only take you to get started here because the rest of the content is charged. If you can’t solve this problem, or can solve this problem independently, but still don’t know how to win money in Baccarat, then you can buy the content of Chapter 5. The content of the fifth chapter is the ultimate sublimation of this question. The meticulous concept, operation, and explanation will enable you to win Baccarat from now on.

4.1 A picture to understand the pros and cons of betting sizing strategies

“There are a thousand Hamlet in the eyes of a thousand readers.” Similarly, a variety of betting strategies are circulating among tens of millions of players. According to casino statistics, there are mainly the following 5 betting methods among baccarat players.

Betting sizing strategy 1: Stud

All funds are invested in each bet. The advantage of this method is that it can quickly get a generous return, but the disadvantage is that as long as you lose once, the player’s account will be declared bankrupt.

Betting sizing strategy 2: All bets for a fixed amount

Regardless of winning or losing, a fixed amount of money is invested every time. This method will greatly reduce the probability that the player loses all the principal, but it also means that the player’s income can only increase in a “slow and stable” trend.

Betting sizing strategy 3: Double bet

After each failure, double the additional bet and strive for a profit to recover the previous loss. The rate of income growth of this method is definitely faster than the fixed equal injection method. However, when the player loses in a row, the player is likely to invest a large amount of money, and the risk of account bankruptcy also increases.

Betting method 4: Fibonacci sequence

After losing the bet, increase the bet amount according to the number on the Fibonacci sequence, and strive for a profit to make up for the previous loss. This method is similar to the double betting method, but it can reduce the rate of increase in the amount of betting during consecutive losses, and of course the rate of winning will be reduced accordingly.

Fibonacci sequence (golden section sequence): 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144….

Betting method 5: proportional betting

Each time, a proportional bet is taken from the current principal. The ratio can be a fixed value, or it can be adjusted accordingly with different odds. Compared with the fixed-amount betting method, the profit of proportional betting increases faster, and the speed of loss during consecutive losses also decreases.

Now let’s experiment with 5 popular betting strategies on the market. In this test system, the player’s initial capital is US$1,000 and the winning rate is 55%. Except for Stud, the initial betting amount for each method is US$100 (proportional betting). The betting ratio of French players is fixed at 10% of the principal). The final result is shown in the figure.

            A: Stud; B: Double betting; C: Fixed betting; D: Proportional betting; E: Fibonacci

When the experiment reached the 500th round, the proportional betting method brought players the most objective return.

Stud’s betting method can certainly be rewarded with one bet, but if the winning rate is not 100%, this betting method will eventually bankrupt the player.

Both double betting and Fibonacci betting have brought considerable benefits to players at the beginning of the experiment. But when the experiment progressed to the 83rd round, the players suffered 11 consecutive losses in a row. In the end, the players who used the double betting method and the Fibonacci betting method lost all the principal in their account.

In addition to proportional betting, fixed-amount betting also brought benefits to players, but the simulation experiment was carried out to the 500th round, and the two players who used fixed-amount betting and proportional betting both gained revenue, of which fixed-amount betting players The gain was $6,400, and proportional betting helped the player earn $18,275.

Under the same variables, the 5 betting methods have brought different results to players. A good betting method will allow the player to do more with less and minimize the player’s losses when losing consecutively.

This experiment shows that there are good and bad betting sizing strategies. If you do not master a reasonable and effective betting sizing strategy, it is undoubtedly to send money to the casino. Besides, in the experiment, the probability of winning is set to 55%. In fact, the player’s winning rate is only 50%.

3.3 Scroll through the history and count your correct rate. Important!!!

After the above study, there may be people who cannot accept the law of large numbers, 50-50, and will not accept the idea that bet placement strategies cannot increase the winning rate. Next, we will do an experiment that will convince you.

Playing baccarat, some people will say that his winning rate is high because he has a winning strategy; some people will say that his winning rate is low because he loses nothing and is heavily in debt. So have you ever counted your own historical data?

This is a very important data that few players will study. Historical data can not only reflect your winning percentage but also reflect why you lose or why you win.

Now, you can open the platform where you often play baccarat and find the page of historical data. Count your winning percentage from now on.

Needless to say, I know that your winning percentage is 50%. You may be surprised “Why do I lose so much money with a 50% winning rate?” “It’s amazing, my winning rate is only 50%!”. Maybe you have changed countless bet placement strategies, maybe you once felt that your bet placement strategy has a high winning rate, maybe you have lost a lot, but your winning rate is the same. Will lose or win only because your bet is working.

In fact, the law of large numbers is indeed everywhere, not only in the cards, but also in your winning percentage. It will not be biased towards the side with the higher winning percentage because of what strategy you use, nor will it be biased towards the side with the lower winning percentage because of your guessing.

People are obsessed with “roads” because of the law of decimals. The law of decimals means that people tend to apply the law of large numbers under the premise of large samples to small samples, but that does not hold true. People mistakenly believe that the empirical mean values of small samples and large samples have the same probability distribution, leading to excessive inferences about independent observations of short sequences. This is a common psychological misunderstanding and a summary of the gambler’s fallacy.

Therefore, if you want to win Baccarat for a long time, it is impossible to win by winning rate, because you cannot break the law of large numbers. In addition to the betting placement strategy, baccarat is a betting sizing strategy. It is conceivable that only a reasonable bet distribution can win Baccarat.

3.2 Statistical baccarat bet placement strategies

Many players will study the load of baccarat, including myself, this is also one of the fun of playing baccarat. But whether the “road” and “point of entry” are really effective, we are here to test and reveal the secrets for everyone.

In China, the Three Roads is a commonly used method of baccarat players, which also includes a variety of evolution methods. People divide the three roads into formal, trans, and pros and cons, and now we will test the three roads trans.

details as follows:

No betting on the first hand of each column of the Three Roads. If the first hand is a banker, then the second hand will buy the player. If it is won, the third hand will not be played. Wait for the next column. If it is wrong, the third hand Continue to buy the player; if the first hand is a player, then the second hand will buy the banker, if it is correct, it will wait for the next row, if it’s wrong, the third hand will continue to buy the banker.

Next, we use a Python program to simulate and test this bet placement strategy to see if the winning rate will be higher than 50% or not much difference.

Obviously, the Three Roads is not as magical as it is said, and it still hasn’t broken the law of large numbers. So, I dare say that all strategies are 50-50, and it does not improve the winning rate. Don’t waste time researching winning bet placement strategies, as long as you are good at a strategy you are used to, the most important thing is to allocate bets.

In addition to the Three Roads, various entry points are also very powerful. For example, “starting six games in a row, and opening a banker will buy a player”. “When you see a shoe card with two rows of players with more than three consecutive games, wait for three players to appear in the third column, and in turn buy the banker three times. Note Yards 1, 2, 4, stop once in a hit, and also stop when you lose three. Change your shoes once in every boot.

In fact, none of these entry points can break the law of large numbers. If you don’t believe it, we test a “6 players and then buy the banker”.

It can be seen that after six consecutive players, the probability of opening a banker and a player is the same. There is no such thing as a high winning rate. The reason for this illusion is that the probability of the entry point is relatively small, and the waiting time is long, and it happens that you have guessed the number of entries correctly.

Don’t think that you can break the law of large numbers by designing complex entry points. In fact, it is not. No matter how rare your bet placement strategy is, no matter how mysterious your bet placement strategy is, it will eventually be 50-50.

So, I dare say that all bet placement strategies are 50-50, and no bet placement strategy can increase the winning rate. Don’t waste your time researching winning bet placement strategies, as long as you are good at a strategy you are accustomed to, defeating Baccarat depends on betting allocation.

3.1 Count 100,000 hands of baccarat

According to the law of large numbers, if the “Tie” situation is not considered, the ratio between the banker and the player should be 1:1 and meet the following conditions:

Theoretical 100,000 hands of banker and player statistics (excluding T)


So, is this the actual situation? Next, we have Python to simulate the Baccarat card road for testing. Only count the bankers and the players, not the Tie. Friends who know Python can download the code to test.

The test results are as follows:

Test two more times:

It can be seen from the simulation data that it is almost consistent with our expected statistical data. This shows that the baccarat game conforms to the law of large numbers.

Does it also show that any bet placement strategies conforms to the law of large numbers, and ultimately conforms to the 50-50 probability? If so, doesn’t it mean that Baccarat does not have a way to increase winning percentage through bet placement strategies? Or, baccarat can’t improve the winning rate at all? This will be verified one by one below.